Bias Formula:
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Average bias measures the systematic error in predictions by calculating the mean difference between predicted values and actual values. It indicates whether a model consistently overestimates or underestimates the true values.
The calculator uses the bias formula:
Where:
Explanation: Positive bias indicates systematic overestimation, negative bias indicates systematic underestimation, and zero bias indicates no systematic error.
Details: Bias assessment is crucial for model validation, quality control, and understanding systematic errors in predictive models across various fields including statistics, machine learning, and scientific research.
Tips: Enter predicted and actual values as comma-separated lists. Ensure both lists have the same number of values and are in the same order. Values can be integers or decimals.
Q1: What does positive bias mean?
A: Positive bias indicates the model consistently overestimates the actual values (predictions are higher than reality).
Q2: What does negative bias mean?
A: Negative bias indicates the model consistently underestimates the actual values (predictions are lower than reality).
Q3: Is zero bias always good?
A: Zero bias means no systematic error, but the model could still have high variance or random error. Both bias and precision should be considered.
Q4: How is bias different from accuracy?
A: Bias measures systematic error (consistent over/underestimation), while accuracy typically considers both bias and precision (random error).
Q5: What units does bias have?
A: Bias has the same units as the measured values. If predicting temperature in °C, bias will be in °C.